The race for the post of Speaker is in full swing and the list of candidates is stuck. Instead, in the centre, Paavo Vyrien is again pushing on Hinze’s side – no doubt to anger Olli Rehn, writes special political editor Timo Haapala.
Yale announced his presidential run this morning.
nothing new.
Not new at all!
Foreign Minister Pekka Haavisto (green) (28%), Bank of Finland Governor Olli Rehan (centre) second (15%) and Foreign Policy Institute director Mika Altola third (13%).
What follows is a trove of familiar names from countless previous elections with minimal endorsements.
Let us mention Jussi Hala-Aho of the Basic Finns (6%), Alexander Staub of the Alliance (5%) and Sanna Marin of the SDP (5%).
However, Marin has explicitly ruled out candidacy, so the SDP’s strongest name is EU Commissioner Jutta Urpilinen (SD), with two percent support, who has said he will seek the position at the latest in the fall during the summer. announce its position.
,
In Finland, the presidential race has never started so darkly in modern history.
Mika Altola’s candidacy is more than unlikely: the big parties don’t need him, and setting up his own voter association or mass movement would be a lot of work and pain.
In Finland, the presidential race has never started so darkly in modern history. Pakka is in the air in both the alliance and the SDP.
In the center, Reyhan is believed to be safe, relying on Hla-Aho, who has fallen to the native Finns.
Read more: Commentary: We head into the presidential election in a historic fog – is the number one name still hidden or is the way paved for Havisto?
Candidates must be named at extraordinary party meetings in September. If more than one candidate comes, the election of the members should be held before that.
The first phase of elections will be held on January 28.
So far, the only nominated candidate is still Hajalis Harkimo of Leak NYT, who receives a large percentage (1%) of support in Yale’s poll.
,
It is interesting to see how the 76-year-old Vairinen tries to disturb the pattern of the center of his party again.
Fortunately, there is a lively exception and a spirited candidate, namely Keminma’s gift for the Finnish presidential election without the right of withdrawal, namely Paavo Variinen (centre).
It is interesting to see how the 76-year-old Vairinen tries to disturb the pattern of the center of his party again.
Viräinen is back in the running with a bang – albeit from the hinge side.
Even the recent rule changes from the central government will not be able to stop Vari. They were meant to block Vairinen’s candidacy, as Olli Rehn does not want member elections – not at all, at least not with Vairinen.
However, the party office at the center has denied that the changes were made to prevent Vairinen’s candidacy. Anyway the rules for the nomination of candidates need to be updated, for example compared to the nomination of candidates for the European Union elections. Membership election is not mandatory.
At the party council in April, the Center changed its rules so that you can participate in contests and member elections only if you have three central districts or twenty local departments behind your candidacy.
Earlier, the condition was support from one district or ten associations.
So it is certain that the primary election will come. If Olli Rehan wants to be a candidate, he should join, Väyrinen writes in his blog. Photo: Timo Aalto / Lehtikuva
On Monday, Väräinen wrote a blog in which he dreams of supporting three districts, namely the Swedish-speaking districts, Perapohjola and Lapland. Värienen cannot lag behind the three districts, but there are enough local associations.
How?
It is about the fact that there are thousands of dead and inactive local sections in the center, which can be revived if necessary and is behind Vährenen’s candidacy.
A good advisor for Varisen, if necessary, is ex-party secretary Jarmo Korhonen (centre), who knows the center region’s defunct local associations like the back of his hand.
Even Vaarinen is sure that there will be a sufficient number of departments:
– Instead, it is clear that at least 20 party departments support my candidacy. Time to make a decision is available until the end of July.
So it is certain that the primary election will come. If Olli Rehan wants to be a candidate, he should join, Väyrinen writes in his blog.
Reviving dead and dormant districts in the Center is not a new thing.
This “Lazarus method” was already used in the famous “battle of the doctors” in the early 1980s, when Ahti Karjalainen (centre) and Johannes Virolainen (centre) contested the party’s candidacy. At the 1981 Kuopio party meeting, Virolainen clearly defeated Karjalainen.
From Olli Rehan’s point of view, Vaarinen’s plan looks scary.
He wants to avoid joint performances with Vyrin until the very end.
Rehan and Värienen have always fought in the center – apparently because they were at the same time Finland’s first EU MP, appointed by the parliament in 1995.
,
But flirting can also lead to trouble, especially for Rehaan, even though Vaarinen may not even get his party’s candidate.
Now Varinen has gone so far in his line, in his anti-NATO and in his understanding of Russia, that he does not get support from the center for anything.
But flirting can also lead to trouble, especially for Rehaan, even though Vaarinen may not even get his party’s candidate.
– It’s about the fact that Värenen probably wants to muddle Rehan’s candidacy, he is hardly attacking the center so much, confirms the influence of the party’s background.
In the last presidential election, Väryanen did not qualify for the centrist, so he collected 20,000 supporter cards himself and defeated centrist candidate Matti Vanhanen (centre) by 6.2 to 4.1 percent.
Vaarinen would deserve a fighter trophy of sorts. Vairinen has already been a candidate in four presidential elections since 1988.
There are other companies too. Viräinen seriously considered running for office as early as 1981, and he also ran for office in 2000, but was unsuccessful in the primary election for Esko Aho (centre).
That said, Varinen’s road to the presidency may be over unless he collects 20,000 supporter cards again.
The support is also leaving. In the parliamentary elections, he was defeated by 1,396 votes. Warren does not consider his age to be a hindrance, after all, he is four years younger than US President Joe Biden, who is also seeking another term.
But toying with Rehan’s candidacy also gives Varys an edge.
Three years ago, Minister Seppo Carianen presented the center with a primary election for a presidential candidate.
Even Carinen hardly dreamed of such a situation, as there were other tough names on his list: Reihan, Esko Aho, Anneli Jätenmäki, Antti Kaakkonen, maybe even Carinen himself, and Vairinen. In the primary election, they could lay the groundwork for a possible surge in support for the center.
Carianen did not have a simple Varinen-Rhein race in mind.
But Vairinen will come forward at the latest in the central party meeting’s candidate vote.
It’s worth remembering that Vaarinen is also a member of the Center’s party board, even if he doesn’t open his mouth there.
Otherwise, it will be interesting to see how other parties and candidates place their bets in the lull of summer.
Time is not much, but very little.
